• 论文
主办单位:煤炭科学研究总院有限公司、中国煤炭学会学术期刊工作委员会
新疆煤炭资源开发潜力与开发策略
  • Title

    Research on the potential and strategy for coal resources exploitation in Xinjiang

  • 作者

    卞正富张益东王猛王长申韩晓彤牟守国任清晨李国栋

  • Author

    BIAN Zhengfu;ZHANG Yidong;WANG Meng;WANG Changshen;HAN Xiaotong;MU Shouguo;REN Qingchen;LI Guodong

  • 单位

    中国矿业大学 教育部矿山生态修复工程研究中心中国矿业大学 矿业工程学院中国矿业大学 碳中和研究院中国矿业大学 资源与地球科学学院中国矿业大学 公共管理学院新疆大学 地矿学院

  • Organization
    Mine Ecological Restoration Engineering Research Center, the Ministry of Education, China University of Mining and Technology
    School of Mines, China University of Mining and Technology
    Carbon Neutrality Research Institute, China University of Mining and Technology
    School of Resources and Earth Sciences, China University of Mining and Technology
    School of Public Administration, China University of Mining and Technology
    School of Geology and Mineral Resources, Xinjiang University
  • 摘要

    鉴于新疆煤炭资源赋存条件的独特性以及煤炭赋存区生态环境的脆弱性,科学开发新疆煤炭资源成为当务之急。为此,简要论述了新疆煤炭资源地质赋存条件、赋煤区水文地质条件、自然地理与生态环境条件,分析了新疆煤炭资源开发潜力。结果表明:新疆煤炭资源极为丰富,全区预测煤炭资源量2.19万亿t,占全国总预测储量的40%以上;新疆共有 24个预测资源量超过100 亿t的煤田,其中5个煤田预测资源量超过1 000亿t,8个煤田预测资源量在400亿~1 000 亿t,11个煤田预测资源量在100亿~400 亿t;潜在煤炭资源量中,1 000 m以下浅储量占比52.8%。新疆煤炭资源以低阶烟煤和中阶烟煤为主要煤阶,其次是中煤阶煤中的高阶烟煤,而低煤阶煤中的褐煤和中煤阶煤中的超高阶烟煤以及高煤阶煤中的无烟煤,分布范围和数量极为有限,所占资源总量的比例很低;综合考虑疆煤外运、疆电外送、西气东输以及本地煤化工产业规划,预计2035年新疆煤炭产能有望超8亿t。在此基础上,构建了生态环境承载力评价指标体系,对新疆规划建设的五大煤矿区生态环境承载力进行了评价,得出:新疆煤炭资源赋存区生态环境承载力整体处于中低水平,五大煤矿区生态环境承载力均值排序为伊犁(0.42)>库拜(0.38)>和丰(0.31)>准东(0.25)>吐哈(0.22),呈现出由西到东递减的趋势。针对新疆煤炭资源开发条件与潜力,提出了优化煤炭资源开发布局、推动开采技术升级、推进智能采矿技术、强化绿色开采理念、拓展煤炭多元化利用渠道等策略。

  • Abstract

    In view of the uniqueness of the occurrence conditions of coal resources in Xinjiang and the fragility of the ecological environment in the coal occurrence area, it is urgent to develop coal resources in Xinjiang scientifically. Therefore, in this paper, the geological occurrence conditions, hydrogeological conditions, physical geography and ecological environment conditions of coal resources in Xinjiang were briefly discussed, and the exploitation potential of coal resources was analyzed. The results show that the coal resources in Xinjiang are extremely abundant, with an estimated coal resource of 2.19 trillion tonnes in the entire region, accounting for more than 40% of the total estimated coal resources in China. There are 24 coal fields in Xinjiang with estimated resource levels exceeding 10 billion tonnes, of which 5 have estimated resource levels exceeding 100 billion tonnes, 8 have estimated resource levels between 40 billion−100 billion tonnes, and 11 have estimated resource levels between 10 billion−40 billion tonnes. Among the potential coal resources, shallow resources below 1000 meters account for 52.8%. The main coal rank of Xinjiang’s coal resources is low-rank bituminous coal and medium-rank bituminous coal, fol-lowed by high-rank bituminous coal in middling coal rank coal, while lignite in low-rank coal, ultra-high rank bituminous coal in middling coal rank coal and anthracite in high-rank coal have extremely limited distribution range and quantity, accounting for a very low proportion of the total resources. Taking into account the transportation of coal from Xinjiang, the transmission of electricity from Xinjiang, the transmission of natural gas from the west to the east, and the local coal chemical industry plan, it is expected that Xinjiang’s coal production capacity will exceed 800 million tonnes by 2035. On this basis, an ecological environment carrying capacity evaluation index system was constructed, and the ecological environment carrying capacity of the five major coal mining areas planned and constructed in Xinjiang was evaluated. The results show that the overall ecological environment carrying capacity of the coal resource areas in Xinjiang is at a medium to low level, and the average ecological environment carrying capacity of the five major coal mining areas is ranked as Yili (0.42)>Kubai (0.38)>Hefeng (0.31)>Zhundong (0.25)>Tuha (0.22). It shows a decreasing trend from west to east. In response to the conditions and potential of coal resource development in Xinjiang, strategies have been proposed to optimize the layout of coal resource development, promote mining technology upgrading, promote intelligent mining technology, strengthen the concept of green mining, and expand diversified channels for coal utilization.

  • 关键词

    新疆煤炭开发潜力生态承载力开发策略

  • KeyWords

    Xinjiang coal development;potential;ecological carrying capacity;development strategy

  • 基金项目(Foundation)
    国家自然科学基金新疆联合基金资助项目(U1903209)
  • DOI
  • 引用格式
    卞正富,张益东,王猛,等. 新疆煤炭资源开发潜力与开发策略[J]. 煤炭学报,2024,49(2):967−977.
  • Citation
    BIAN Zhengfu,ZHANG Yidong,WANG Meng,et al. Research on the potential and strategy for coal resources exploitation in Xinjiang[J]. Journal of China Coal Society,2024,49(2):967−977.
  • 图表

    Table1

    各煤种比例
    低变质 中变质和中高变质 高变质
    长焰煤 不黏煤 弱黏煤 气煤与气肥煤 1/3焦煤 焦煤 瘦煤 贫煤 无烟煤
    41.0 52.7 1.3 2.3 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.1 1.5

    Table2

    生态环境承载力评价评价指标体系与权重
    目标层 准则层 指标层
    指标 权重 指标 属性 权重
    生态环境承载力EECC 驱动力D 0.199 2 年均温 + 0.0036
    年降水量 + 0.1081
    地均GDP + 0.5905
    GDP增长率 + 0.2071
    工业产值占比 + 0.0907
    压力P 0.055 4 干旱指数 0.1947
    污水排放量 0.2660
    人口密度 0.0295
    人均用水量 0.2370
    土地利用强度 0.2727
    状态S 0.389 6 植被指数 + 0.0912
    空气质量优良率 + 0.0690
    人均水资源量 + 0.1189
    人均耕地面积 + 0.4755
    净初级生产力 + 0.2455
    影响I 0.1554 人均原煤产量 0.3501
    万元GDP能耗 0.2970
    细颗粒物质量浓度 0.1997
    裸地空间分布 0.0974
    工矿用地分布 0.0558
    响应R 0.2004 第三产业比重 + 0.2193
    污水处理率 + 0.2105
    造林面积 + 0.3525
    水土流失治理面积 + 0.2177
      注:“+”代表正向指标,“−”代表负向指标;各指标数据来源于中国科学院资源环境数据中心(http://www.geodata.cn/)、资源环境科学与数据中心(https://www.resdc.cn/)、《新疆统计年鉴》、《中国城市建设统计年鉴》、《中国区域经济统计年鉴》、《新疆维吾尔自治区第七次全国人口普查主要数据》以及利用MODIS、Landsat数据处理后获得。

    Table3

    新疆煤炭资源赋存区生态环境承载力数据统计
    名称 平均指数 不同等级承载力土地面积占比/%
    低承载力
    ( < 0.21)
    较低承载力
    (0.21~0.27)
    中承载力
    (0.27~0.34)
    较高承载力
    (0.34~0.41)
    高承载力
    (≥0.41)
    准东 0.25 0 99.46 0.06 0.48 0
    吐哈 0.22 49.24 46.18 0.10 0.27 4.21
    伊犁 0.42 0 0 0.19 29.48 70.33
    库拜 0.38 0 0 0 89.06 10.94
    和丰 0.31 0 1.96 92.61 4.38 1.05
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